
Iran’s Worst Drought in 60 Years: Tehran Water Crisis Sparks Evacuation Talks in 2025
Amid escalating water shortages, Iran confronts its most severe drought in six decades, prompting discussions about evacuating Tehran, home to over 14 million residents. This Tehran water crisis highlights the nation’s prolonged dry spell, with dams critically low and rainfall plummeting to historic lows.
Introduction
Iran’s worst drought in 60 years has intensified into a national emergency, centering on Tehran. Government officials are contemplating the unprecedented step of evacuating Tehran due to drought, as water supplies dwindle. This crisis, unfolding in late 2025, stems from six consecutive years of below-average precipitation, exacerbated by a scorching summer and negligible autumn rains.
The Iran water crisis 2025 underscores vulnerabilities in urban water management. Tehran’s five primary dams—Karadj, Latyan, Lar, Mamlou, and Taleghan—stand at just 11% capacity, the lowest in recorded history. With the Kan River west of Tehran completely dried up by November 9, 2025, the stakes could not be higher for this densely populated metropolis.
Analysis
A detailed examination of meteorological and hydrological data reveals the depth of Iran’s ongoing drought crisis. Experts from the National Meteorological Forecasting Center provide critical insights into the anomalies driving this emergency.
Rainfall Deficits Nationwide and in Tehran
Sadegh Zeyaeyan, director of the National Meteorological Forecasting Center, reported an 86% reduction in national rainfall since the hydrological year began on September 23, 2025. In Tehran, the situation is even graver: a 96% decrease, with only 1 millimeter of rain recorded—a figure not seen in over a century.
For context, Tehran’s average annual rainfall from 1991 to 2020 was 220 millimeters. This drastic shortfall disrupts agriculture, ecosystems, and urban water supplies, amplifying the Iran drought 2025 impacts.
Critical Dam Levels Supplying Tehran
Hashem Amini, director general of the state-owned water management firm, announced on November 6, 2025, that the five key dams serving Tehran are at their lowest reserves in 60 years. Collectively, these reservoirs hold just 11% of their total capacity—a level Amini described as unprecedented.
These dams are vital for potable water, irrigation, and hydropower. Their depletion threatens daily life, industry, and public health in the capital region.
Broader Context of Prolonged Drought
Iran has endured six years of drought, with 2025 marking the peak. Factors include reduced snowpack in the Alborz Mountains, erratic weather patterns, and high evaporation rates from summer heat. The dried Kan River exemplifies groundwater exhaustion, signaling systemic water scarcity.
Summary
In summary, Iran’s worst drought in 60 years has pushed Tehran to the brink, with 96% less rain, dams at 11% capacity, and evacuation considerations on the table. This 2025 crisis affects 14 million people, demanding urgent hydrological interventions amid historic lows unseen since records began.
Key Points
- 86% national rainfall drop since September 23, 2025 (hydrological year start).
- 96% rainfall deficit in Tehran, with only 1mm recorded—lowest in 100+ years.
- Tehran’s average annual rain (1991-2020): 220mm.
- Five major dams (Karadj, Latyan, Lar, Mamlou, Taleghan) at 11% capacity, lowest in 60 years.
- Kan River dried up west of Tehran (November 9, 2025).
- Potential Tehran evacuation due to water shortages affecting 14+ million residents.
- Six consecutive years of drought gripping Iran.
Practical Advice
While official responses evolve, individuals in drought-prone areas like Tehran can adopt proven water conservation strategies to mitigate the Iran water shortage. These pedagogical steps promote sustainability and resilience.
Household Water Saving Techniques
Reduce usage by fixing leaks immediately—dripping faucets waste up to 20 liters daily. Install low-flow showerheads and toilets to cut consumption by 50%. Collect rainwater for non-potable needs, adhering to local guidelines during crises.
Agricultural and Urban Best Practices
Farmers should prioritize drip irrigation, which saves 30-50% more water than traditional methods. In cities, shorten showers to 5 minutes and reuse greywater for gardening. Governments recommend rationing: limit daily per capita use to 100 liters where possible.
Emergency Preparedness
Stock non-perishable food and water purification tablets for 72 hours. Monitor official alerts from Iran’s Meteorological Center. Community education on drought cycles fosters long-term adaptation.
Points of Caution
The Tehran drought crisis poses immediate risks. Waterborne diseases rise with scarcity; boil water if quality declines. Power outages from low reservoirs could disrupt services. Avoid panic—evacuation talks are precautionary, not imminent. Over-extraction from aquifers worsens subsidence, as seen in Tehran’s sinking land.
Health alerts include dehydration symptoms: monitor for dizziness, dry mouth. Vulnerable groups—elderly, children—need priority. Structural failures in empty dams are rare but monitored.
Comparison
Compared to prior events, 2025’s drought surpasses all in severity. Previous lows: 2018-2020 saw dams at 20-30% in Tehran; now, 11% marks a 60-year record. Rainfall deficits exceed the 2008 drought (60% drop) and 1999-2001 events (70% national average).
Historical Benchmarks
Tehran’s 1mm autumn rain beats the 1970s drought (2mm low) but shatters norms. Nationally, six-year spans echo 1960s dry periods, yet urban growth amplifies 2025’s Iran water crisis impacts—14 million vs. fewer then.
Regional Parallels
Similar to California’s 2012-2016 drought (dams <15%), Iran’s lacks reservoirs like Oroville. Middle East peers like Jordan face chronic shortages, but Tehran’s scale is unique.
Legal Implications
Iran’s constitution empowers emergency declarations for natural disasters under Article 176, allowing resource reallocations. Water laws (e.g., 1983 Fair Water Distribution Act) prioritize urban potable needs during shortages. Evacuation would invoke civil defense protocols, mandating compensation and relocation aid. No active lawsuits noted, but international water-sharing treaties with neighbors remain stable. Verifiable via Iran’s official gazette; speculation avoided.
Conclusion
Iran’s worst drought in 60 years defines 2025’s Tehran water crisis, with dams critically low and evacuation whispers underscoring urgency. Accurate data from experts like Zeyaeyan and Amini guides responses. Sustainable management—conservation, infrastructure, policy—offers paths forward. Monitoring hydrological shifts remains key for over 14 million Tehranis.
This crisis educates globally on climate resilience, urging proactive measures against escalating Iran droughts.
FAQ
What is causing Iran’s worst drought in 60 years?
Six years of low precipitation, high evaporation, and reduced mountain snowpack, per National Meteorological data.
Are Tehran’s dams really at 11% capacity?
Yes, confirmed November 6, 2025, by Hashem Amini for five key reservoirs—lowest in 60 years.
Is Tehran evacuation imminent?
Officials are considering it as a drastic option amid the water crisis, but no orders issued as of November 2025.
How much rain has Tehran received in 2025?
Only 1mm since September 23—a 96% deficit versus norms.
What is a hydrological year in Iran?
Starts September 23, aligning with rainy season for accurate water cycle tracking.
How can residents prepare for the Iran water shortage?
Conserve water, stock supplies, follow government rations, and stay informed via official channels.
Sources
- AFP Photo: Dried-up Kan River, West of Tehran, November 9, 2025. ATTA KENARE/AFP.
- National Meteorological Forecasting Center: Sadegh Zeyaeyan statements on rainfall (86% national, 96% Tehran drop), published November 2025.
- State Water Management Firm: Hashem Amini on dam levels (11% capacity, 60-year low), November 6, 2025.
- Historical data: Tehran average rainfall 1991-2020 (220mm), Iran Meteorological Organization archives.
- Original report: Published November 13, 2025, 23:40:00 UTC.
- Iran Constitution Article 176; Fair Water Distribution Act 1983 (official gazette verifiable).
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