Background

Understanding the Kpandai Rerun

The Kpandai Constituency, located in the Northern Region of Ghana, is no stranger to competitive elections. The December 30 rerun stems from discrepancies in the initial vote tally, prompting a judicial review that mandated a revote. This constituency has historically swung between major parties, making it a critical battleground for both the NDC and NPP.

Global InfoAnalytics: Methodology and Scope

The data analyzed by Global InfoAnalytics stems from a comprehensive opinion poll conducted in early December 2025. The survey engaged over 1,200 registered voters across urban centers, rural towns, and farming communities within Kpandai. Questions focused on presidential performance, economic perceptions, and parliamentary preferences, providing a multidimensional view of voter attitudes.

Analysis

Presidential Approval and Its Parliamentary Impact

President Mahama’s 64% approval rating in Kpandai reflects broader national trends, where constituents credit his administration for infrastructure development, agricultural initiatives, and social welfare programs. For parliamentary candidates, presidential approval often serves as a “transfer effect”—voters sympathetic to the president may extend that support to party-aligned parliamentary hopefuls. In Kpandai, this dynamic could amplify votes for NDC’s Nsala Wakpal.

Economic Perceptions: A Driving Force

Economic sentiment proved pivotal in past Ghanaian elections, and Kpandai is no exception. The survey revealed that 54% of respondents felt their personal economic conditions improved under the current government. This figure outperforms the national average, likely due to localized agricultural subsidies and rural electrification projects. Improved economic perceptions often correlate with higher voter turnout and loyalty to incumbent parties.

Competitive Landscape: NPP’s Strategic Challenges

NPP’s Strategic Challenges

Despite the NDC’s advantages, the NPP’s Matthew Nyindam remains a formidable contender. Nyindam’s campaign emphasizes local governance experience and promises to address chronic issues such as classroom shortages and unreliable electricity. His ability to mobilize traditional NPP strongholds could tighten the race. However, Global InfoAnalytics notes that 26% of voters still perceive the country as moving in the wrong direction—a base Nyindam could exploit with targeted messaging.

Historical Context and Turnout Expectations

Kpandai’s electoral history shows high volatility; the constituency flipped from NPP to NDC in the 2020 elections amid nationwide shifts. Reruns often see lower turnout due to voter fatigue, but Global InfoAnalytics anticipates robust participation given the stakes. Mobilization efforts, especially among youth and women, will likely determine the margin of victory.

Practical Advice

For Voters: Making Informed Choices

Voters in Kpandai should evaluate candidates based on tangible plans rather than national party affiliations. Key issues to prioritize include:

• Infrastructure Development: Assess candidates’ proposals for road networks and market modernization.
• Education Access: Inquiry about strategies to expand school infrastructure and teacher training.
• Agricultural Support: scrutinize commitments to irrigation systems and price stabilization for farm produce.

Campaign Strategies for Political Parties

Strategies for Political Parties

Based on the data, both parties should adopt the following tactics:

• NDC: Amplify success stories tied to presidential policies while addressing lingering dissatisfaction among the 26% who feel the country is on the wrong track.
• NPP: Focus on localized grievances—particularly in areas with unresolved electricity or employment issues—to chip away at NDC’s economic credibility.

Leveraging Community Leaders

Both campaigns should engage traditional leaders and religious influencers, whose endorsement can sway undecided voters. Townhall meetings and community-based consultations remain effective tools for direct engagement.

FAQ

Conclusion

The Kpandai rerun underscores the interplay between national leadership perceptions and local electoral outcomes. While Global InfoAnalytics’ data indicates a favorable climate for the NDC, the NPP’s ground game and targeted messaging could still alter the result. Voters face a decisive choice that may reflect broader patterns in Ghana’s political trajectory. As campaigns intensify, transparency, issue-based debates, and civic education will be essential to ensure a credible and inclusive process.