Introduction

As Ghana’s New Patriotic Party (NPP) prepares for its crucial flagbearer election in January 2026, a recent survey by Governance Lab Africa reveals significant insights into the preferences of party members. The survey, conducted between November and December 2025, highlights Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia as the overwhelming favorite among NPP members. This article delves into the survey findings, analyzes the key factors influencing voter preferences, and explores the potential implications for the upcoming elections.

Key Points

Background

The NPP Flagbearer Race

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) is one of Ghana’s major political parties, and the selection of its flagbearer is a critical step towards the 2028 general elections. The flagbearer will represent the party in the presidential race, making this internal election a pivotal moment for the NPP.

Survey Methodology

The survey conducted by Governance Lab Africa involved 340 NPP members and was carried out between November and December 2025. The sample was predominantly male (87.9%) and highly educated (92.9% with tertiary education).

Analysis

Bawumia’s Commanding Lead

Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s substantial lead in the survey is a clear indication of his popularity among NPP members. His 51.8% support is more than double that of his nearest competitor, Dr. Bryan Acheampong. This significant margin suggests that Bawumia has successfully positioned himself as the frontrunner in the race.

Firm Decision-Making

The survey reveals that a vast majority of respondents (84.4%) have firmly decided on their preferred candidate. This high level of certainty indicates that the minds of NPP members are largely made up, which could make it challenging for other candidates to sway voters in the remaining time before the election.

Economic Concerns and Electability

Economic issues, particularly job creation and youth unemployment, are at the forefront of voters’ minds. Nearly half of the respondents (46.5%) identified these as the most critical issues for the next election. Additionally, the ability to win the 2028 general election is a significant factor, with 44.1% of respondents prioritizing electability.

Practical Advice

For Candidates

Given the strong lead of Dr. Bawumia, other candidates need to focus on differentiating themselves and highlighting their unique strengths. Emphasizing their plans for economic recovery, job creation, and youth empowerment could resonate with voters. Additionally, candidates should leverage their campaign strategies to engage more actively with party members and address their concerns.

For Party Members

NPP members should stay informed about the candidates’ policies and visions for the party and the country. Engaging in the electoral process, attending campaign events, and participating in discussions can help members make well-informed decisions. It is also essential to consider the long-term implications of their choices on the party’s unity and electoral prospects.

FAQ

Conclusion

The Governance Lab Africa survey provides valuable insights into the preferences of NPP members as the party approaches its flagbearer election. Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s commanding lead underscores his popularity and the confidence that party members have in his ability to lead the NPP to victory in the 2028 general elections. However, the survey also highlights the importance of economic issues and electability, which all candidates should consider as they fine-tune their campaign strategies.

As the election draws near, it will be essential for NPP members to stay engaged and informed, ensuring that their choices reflect the best interests of the party and the country. The outcome of this internal election will not only shape the NPP’s future but also have significant implications for Ghana’s political landscape.