Bawumia Leads NPP 2026 Presidential Primaries: Global InfoAnalytics Poll Reveals Key Insights

Introduction

In the competitive arena of Ghanaian politics, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is gearing up for its 2026 presidential primaries, a crucial step in selecting the party’s flagbearer for the general elections. The latest Global InfoAnalytics poll on NPP 2026 presidential primaries confirms that former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia holds a commanding lead. Conducted from November 17 to 21, 2025, this survey of 3,500 delegates across all 16 regions of Ghana underscores Bawumia’s enduring popularity despite minor fluctuations. This Bawumia NPP primaries poll provides vital data for party stakeholders, offering a snapshot of delegate sentiments ahead of the January 2026 vote. Understanding these trends can help demystify the primaries process and its implications for Ghana’s two-party system.

Analysis

Poll Methodology and Reliability

The Global InfoAnalytics NPP primaries survey employed a robust methodology, targeting NPP delegates—the key decision-makers in party primaries. With a sample size of 3,500 respondents from every region, the poll achieves a 99% confidence level and a margin of error of ±2.12%. This high reliability makes it a trusted source for tracking shifts in the NPP 2026 primaries race. Delegates were asked about their voting intentions using a “most likely electorate” model, which filters for committed voters while accounting for undecideds and non-disclosures.

Headline Results in the Most Likely Electorate

Dr. Bawumia tops the charts at 42.7%, followed by Kennedy Agyapong at 17.7%, and Dr. Bryan Acheampong at 4.6%. Lesser contenders like Dr. Yaw Adutwum and Kwabena Adjei Agyapong each garnered 0.3%. Notably, 14.9% of delegates withheld their preferences, and 19.3% remained undecided, highlighting room for movement in the race.

Support Among Decided Voters

Excluding undecideds and non-disclosers sharpens the picture: Bawumia surges to 63.3%, Kennedy Agyapong to 28.6%, and Acheampong to 6.9%. This decisive margin illustrates Bawumia’s stronghold among firm supporters in the NPP presidential primaries poll.

Regional Breakdowns

Geographic insights reveal Bawumia leading in 13 out of 16 regions, demonstrating broad-based appeal. Kennedy Agyapong edges ahead only in the Volta Region, while the Central Region shows a statistical tie. These patterns reflect how regional loyalties influence Ghana NPP primaries dynamics, with Bawumia’s national footprint proving resilient.

Voter Shifts Since 2023 Primaries

Compared to the 2023 primaries, voter allegiance has evolved. Approximately 11% of Kennedy Agyapong’s former backers have migrated to Bawumia, bolstering his position. Dr. Acheampong has attracted 4% from Bawumia and 5% from Agyapong, signaling emerging competition but not enough to challenge the frontrunner.

Summary

The Global InfoAnalytics poll succinctly captures Bawumia’s sustained dominance in the NPP 2026 presidential primaries. With 42.7% in the most likely electorate and 63.3% among decided voters, he outpaces rivals like Kennedy Agyapong (17.7%) and Bryan Acheampong (4.6%). Regional leads in 13 areas, positive favorability at 92%, and strategic voter gains since 2023 affirm his position. This Bawumia lead in NPP primaries poll, reliable at 99% confidence, points to a frontrunner poised for nomination.

Key Points

Practical Advice

For NPP Delegates

If you’re an NPP delegate preparing for the 2026 primaries, focus on candidate platforms that align with regional needs. Review past performances and favorability metrics from polls like Global InfoAnalytics to inform your vote. Engage in party forums to gauge grassroots sentiments, ensuring your choice strengthens the NPP’s general election prospects.

For Aspiring Candidates

Candidates should target undecided delegates (19.3%) through targeted campaigning in competitive regions like Volta and Central. Leverage data-driven strategies, such as addressing voter shifts, to consolidate support. Building on high favorability, like Bawumia’s 92%, via community outreach can widen leads.

For Political Observers

Track sequential polls to monitor trends in NPP primaries polls 2026. Use tools like margin of error calculations to interpret results accurately, aiding predictions on party unity and election outcomes.

Points of Caution

While the Global InfoAnalytics poll is highly reliable, remember its ±2.12% margin of error means results within this range could tie. The 19.3% undecided segment introduces volatility—late swings are possible. Non-disclosures (14.9%) may hide strategic voting. Polls reflect a snapshot, not guarantees; external events like economic shifts could alter delegate preferences. Always cross-reference with multiple Ghana election polls for a fuller picture, avoiding overreliance on one survey.

Comparison

Versus Previous Global InfoAnalytics Polls

Since October 2025, Bawumia and Agyapong saw slight declines, yet Bawumia retains a decisive edge. Favorability rose for Bawumia to 92% (up 1%), while others dipped, widening his gap.

With 2023 NPP Primaries

In 2023, Bawumia won convincingly, but this poll shows voter fluidity: 11% Agyapong supporters switched, and Acheampong gained modestly. The 2026 race appears more fragmented initially, with undecideds higher, but Bawumia’s consolidation mirrors his prior victory path.

Broader Ghana Polling Context

Compared to National Democratic Congress (NDC) primaries polls, NPP’s field is more consolidated around Bawumia, contrasting multipolar NDC contests. This positions NPP favorably for unity heading into 2028 general elections.

Legal Implications

Party primaries in Ghana, including NPP’s 2026 process, are governed by the party’s constitution and the Political Parties Act, 2000 (Act 574). Polls like Global InfoAnalytics have no direct legal weight but must adhere to data protection laws under the Data Protection Act, 2012 (Act 843). No legal issues arise from this survey, as it transparently reports delegate opinions without influencing votes unduly. Candidates should ensure campaigns comply with election financing regulations to avoid disputes during primaries.

Conclusion

The Global InfoAnalytics poll solidifies Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s lead in the NPP 2026 presidential primaries, with strong metrics across electorate models, regions, and favorability. As delegates deliberate, this data illuminates paths to victory, emphasizing consolidation amid shifts. For Ghana’s democracy, such transparent polling fosters informed participation, potentially strengthening NPP’s electoral strategy. Stay tuned for updates as the January 2026 primaries approach—this Bawumia NPP primaries lead could shape the nation’s future leadership.

FAQ

Sources

• Global InfoAnalytics Poll: Bawumia Maintains Lead in NPP 2026 Presidential Primaries (November 17-21, 2025).
• Life Pulse Daily: Original reporting published November 24, 2025.
• New Patriotic Party (NPP) Constitution and Ghana Political Parties Act, 2000 (Act 574).
• Disclaimer: Views expressed are based on verifiable poll data and do not represent endorsements.