The countdown to the New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential primaries has intensified political discourse across Ghana. As the January 31, 2026, election date approaches, voices from both the political and spiritual spheres are making bold predictions. Against this backdrop, Global InfoAnalytics Executive Director Mussa Dankwah has made a striking declaration: he remains unshaken in his organization’s polling data and methodology. His remarks, aired on Asempa FM’s Ekosii Sen, come amid competing prophecies and shifting delegate sentiments. This article unpacks Dankwah’s position, the data-driven approach of his polling efforts, and the broader implications for the NPP race.

The NPP presidential primaries represent a crucial juncture in Ghana’s political landscape. With the party seeking to retain power in the next general elections, the choice of flagbearer will significantly influence its electoral fortunes. Historically, polling and predictions play a vital role in shaping expectations and strategies. Global InfoAnalytics, a well-regarded polling firm in Ghana, has been at the center of this process, providing data-driven insights ahead of the primaries.

The race has drawn attention not only from political analysts but also from spiritual leaders. Prophet Bernard Elbernard Nelson-Eshun of Spiritlife Revival Ministries has publicly declared that Kennedy Agyapong’s victory is divinely ordained, adding a unique dimension to the electoral narrative. Meanwhile, Mussa Dankwah’s insistence on the reliability of his firm’s polls underscores the ongoing tension between empirical data and spiritual proclamations.

Polling remains a cornerstone of modern electoral strategy, offering parties and candidates insights into voter preferences and delegate leanings. Global InfoAnalytics’ approach—targeting NPP polling station executives—reflects a deep understanding of the party’s grassroots structure. By focusing on this segment, the firm aims to capture the pulse of the party’s base, which often holds disproportionate sway in delegate elections.

The decision to reach approximately 500 delegates per day through direct calls is both strategic and pragmatic. Polling station executives are generally more accessible and willing to share their views compared to regional or constituency leaders, who may be more guarded or politically cautious. This methodology enhances the reliability of the data, providing a clearer picture of the delegate sentiment.

Confidence Amid Controversy

Mussa Dankwah’s unwavering confidence is noteworthy, especially given the high stakes and intense speculation surrounding the primaries. His assertion that “not the slightest vein in my blood is shaken” signals a strong belief in the integrity and accuracy of his organization’s work. This confidence is likely rooted in the rigorous nature of their polling process and the firm’s track record in previous elections.

Nevertheless, the presence of competing narratives—such as the prophecies from Prophet Nelson-Eshun—adds complexity to the electoral environment. While some voters and delegates may be influenced by spiritual pronouncements, others will place greater trust in data-driven insights. The interplay between these perspectives will shape the final outcome and the public’s perception of the primaries.

Global InfoAnalytics’ latest predictive model continues to favor Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, despite the strong grassroots momentum behind Kennedy Agyapong. The “Bawumia Factor” likely refers to the former vice president’s established political network, his role in the current administration, and his appeal to certain segments of the party. This underscores the multifaceted nature of delegate preferences, where both incumbency and grassroots support play crucial roles.

The persistence of Bawumia’s lead in the polls, even as Agyapong gains traction, highlights the challenges of unseating an incumbent-backed candidate in a party primary. However, the final outcome will depend on several factors, including campaign effectiveness, delegate mobilization, and last-minute shifts in sentiment.

For Voters and Delegates

• Stay informed by consulting multiple sources of information, including reputable polling data and official party communications.
• Engage directly with candidates and their campaigns to understand their platforms and visions for the party and the country.
• Be cautious of speculative or sensational claims, especially those not grounded in verifiable data or official statements.

For Political Analysts and Media

• Present polling data with appropriate context, including methodology and margin of error, to avoid misinterpretation.
• Balance coverage of both empirical and anecdotal narratives, ensuring that diverse perspectives are fairly represented.
• Fact-check claims by public figures, especially those related to election outcomes or delegate preferences.

For Political Parties and Campaigns

• Invest in robust data collection and analysis to inform campaign strategies and voter outreach.
• Engage with grassroots members and polling station executives to build trust and gather accurate feedback.
• Prepare for a range of scenarios, recognizing that final outcomes may differ from early predictions.

As the NPP presidential primaries approach, the interplay between data-driven polling and other narratives—including spiritual prophecies—will shape public expectations and delegate decisions. Mussa Dankwah’s unwavering confidence in Global InfoAnalytics’ methodology highlights the critical role of empirical analysis in modern elections. While competing voices will continue to offer their predictions, the ultimate test will come on election day. Voters, delegates, and observers alike are encouraged to stay informed, engage critically with information, and make decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the issues at stake.

• Life Pulse Daily. “I’m now not shaken – Mussa Dankwah announces forward of NPP presidential primaries.” Published January 27, 2026.
• Asempa FM. Ekosii Sen. Interview with Mussa Dankwah, January 2026.
• Global InfoAnalytics. “Predictive model for NPP presidential primaries,” January 23, 2026.
• Spiritlife Revival Ministries. Statement by Prophet Bernard Elbernard Nelson-Eshun, January 2026.