Introduction

The Kpandai parliamentary rerun is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched electoral contests in Ghana. According to Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) appears more united than the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the constituency. This unity could play a decisive role in the upcoming election. In this article, we delve into the polling data, voter sentiment, and key factors that could influence the outcome of the Kpandai rerun.

Key Points

Background

The Kpandai Constituency

The Kpandai constituency, located in the Northern Region of Ghana, has historically been a battleground for the NPP and NDC. The upcoming parliamentary rerun follows a closely contested election that necessitated a revote. The constituency is known for its diverse electorate, with agriculture and local trade playing significant roles in the economy.

Previous Election Results

In the previous election, the NDC and NPP were neck-and-neck, with neither party securing a clear majority. The rerun presents an opportunity for both parties to consolidate their support bases and address internal challenges. The NPP’s candidate, Matthew Nyindam, and the NDC’s candidate, Daniel Nsala Wakpal, are the frontrunners in this high-stakes race.

Analysis

Polling Data and Voter Support

According to the latest Global InfoAnalytics survey, the NPP candidate, Matthew Nyindam, leads with 50% voter support, while the NDC’s Daniel Nsala Wakpal trails closely at 46%. The independent candidate, Eric Nipani Donkor, garners about 1% of the vote, with 3% of voters remaining undecided. The margin of error is ±3.9%, indicating that the race is still too close to call.

Internal Party Dynamics

Mussa Dankwah highlights the NPP’s strong internal unity as a key advantage. The party’s cohesion is evident in its consistent messaging and voter mobilization efforts. In contrast, the NDC faces fragmentation, particularly among female voters. Dankwah notes that some women who previously supported the NDC are now undecided, signaling potential vulnerabilities in the party’s base.

Voter Sentiment and Turnouts

Voter sentiment in Kpandai remains fluid, with many electorates still weighing their options. The turnout on election day will be crucial, as both parties aim to mobilize their supporters effectively. Additionally, the ability to persuade undecided voters in the final days leading up to the election could tip the scales in favor of either party.

Practical Advice

For Political Parties

• Strengthen Internal Unity: Both parties should focus on resolving internal conflicts and presenting a united front to voters.
• Target Undecided Voters: Tailored messaging and outreach programs can help sway the 3% of undecided voters.
• Mobilize Supporters: Effective voter mobilization strategies, including door-to-door campaigns and community engagement, are essential.

For Voters

• Evaluate Candidates: Consider the track records and policy proposals of each candidate before making a decision.
• Participate in the Process: High voter turnout ensures a representative outcome, so exercise your right to vote.
• Stay Informed: Follow reliable news sources and attend local debates to make an informed choice.

FAQ

Conclusion

The Kpandai parliamentary rerun is a critical electoral contest that highlights the importance of party unity, voter mobilization, and persuasive campaigning. While the NPP enjoys stronger internal cohesion, the NDC faces challenges with fragmentation among its support base. The outcome remains uncertain, with undecided voters and turnout playing pivotal roles. As the election approaches, both parties must focus on consolidating their support and addressing internal divisions to secure victory.

Sources

• Global InfoAnalytics Survey (2025).
• Interview with Mussa Dankwah on The AM Show.
• Historical election data from the Electoral Commission of Ghana.