Introduction

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) is set to contest the upcoming Ayawaso East parliamentary by-election, with its General Secretary, Justin Frimpong Kodua, expressing full confidence in victory. The announcement comes following the death of the incumbent Member of Parliament (MP), Naser Toure Mahama, a four-term representative of the National Democratic Congress (NDC). As political attention turns to this key constituency in Accra, the NPP has begun its candidate selection process and aims to secure the seat. This article provides a comprehensive overview, analysis, and practical insights into the political dynamics, implications, and expectations surrounding the Ayawaso East by-election.

Key Points

Background

Constituency Overview

Ayawaso East is a parliamentary constituency located in the Greater Accra Region of Ghana. It is part of the Accra Metropolitan Assembly and is known for its diverse population and active civic engagement. The constituency has historically been a competitive political space, with both the NPP and NDC fielding strong candidates over the years.

Naser Toure Mahama: A Political Legacy

The late Naser Toure Mahama was a four-term MP for Ayawaso East, representing the NDC. His tenure was marked by active constituency service and legislative participation. Mahama passed away on January 4, 2026, after a brief illness, leaving behind a significant political vacuum. His death has prompted a constitutional requirement for a by-election to fill the vacant seat.

Legal Framework for By-Elections

According to Article 97 of the Constitution of Ghana, a parliamentary vacancy caused by death must be filled through a by-election. The Electoral Commission (EC) is constitutionally mandated to organize the election within 60 days from the date of notification of the vacancy. This provision ensures continuous representation in Parliament and upholds democratic principles.

Analysis

NPP’s Strategic Decision

Justin Kodua’s announcement that the NPP will contest and win the Ayawaso East by-election reflects a strategic decision rooted in party confidence and political opportunity. The statement, “Why shouldn’t we contest?” underscores the NPP’s view that every vacant seat is a legitimate contest, regardless of historical party strength.

The decision also aligns with the party’s broader strategy to expand its presence in urban constituencies, particularly in Accra, where voter demographics are increasingly dynamic and issue-based. By fielding a strong candidate, the NPP aims to appeal to a broad spectrum of voters, including youth, professionals, and traditional supporters.

Political Context and Precedents

Kodua referenced past by-election dynamics to justify the NPP’s participation. He noted that when the NPP chose not to contest Tamale Central, the NDC proceeded to contest Akwatia. This historical context highlights the competitive nature of Ghanaian politics, where parties often respond to strategic opportunities rather than symbolic gestures.

The appeal by the Ayawaso East Municipal Chief Executive (MCE) for the NPP to abstain from contesting, as a mark of respect, was dismissed by Kodua as inappropriate. He emphasized that by-elections are a constitutional and democratic process, not a matter of personal or party tribute.

Electoral Implications

The Ayawaso East by-election is expected to be closely watched, not only for its immediate outcome but also for its potential to influence the broader political landscape ahead of the 2028 general elections. A victory for the NPP could signal shifting voter preferences in urban areas and boost the party’s momentum. Conversely, retaining the seat for the NDC would reinforce its strength in its traditional strongholds.

Candidate Selection Process

The NPP has initiated its candidate selection process, aiming to identify a candidate who is both well-accepted and capable of uniting various factions within the constituency. The party plans to finalize its candidate before the EC opens nominations, allowing ample time for campaign preparation and voter engagement.

Practical Advice

For Voters

Voters in Ayawaso East are encouraged to participate actively in the by-election. It is important to register, verify one’s details on the voter register, and stay informed about candidate profiles and party manifestos. Engaging in peaceful and issue-based discourse can contribute to a credible and democratic electoral process.

For Political Parties

Political parties, including the NPP and NDC, should focus on transparent candidate selection, issue-based campaigns, and voter education. Avoiding inflammatory rhetoric and promoting unity can enhance the credibility of the electoral process and strengthen democratic culture.

For Observers and Media

Domestic and international observers, as well as the media, play a crucial role in ensuring transparency and accountability. Accurate reporting, fact-checking, and promoting civic awareness can help prevent misinformation and uphold the integrity of the election.

FAQ

Conclusion

The announcement by NPP General Secretary Justin Frimpong Kodua that the party will contest and win the Ayawaso East by-election marks a significant moment in Ghana’s political calendar. The decision reflects the NPP’s strategic focus on expanding its influence and demonstrating its commitment to democratic participation. As the electoral process unfolds, all stakeholders—voters, parties, candidates, and observers—have a shared responsibility to uphold the principles of free, fair, and peaceful elections. The outcome of the Ayawaso East by-election will not only determine the immediate representation of the constituency but may also influence the broader political dynamics leading up to the 2028 general elections.